Notre Dame
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
49  Michael Clevenger SR 31:32
147  Tim Ball SR 32:02
229  Chris Marco JR 32:22
348  Kevin Pulliam SO 32:40
406  Jacob Dumford JR 32:48
483  Brent Kennedy FR 32:57
1,036  Anthony Williams FR 33:51
1,225  Calvin Kraft SO 34:06
National Rank #37 of 308
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 18.3%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.1%


Regional Champion 0.7%
Top 5 in Regional 71.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Clevenger Tim Ball Chris Marco Kevin Pulliam Jacob Dumford Brent Kennedy Anthony Williams Calvin Kraft
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 771 31:44 32:07 32:20 33:02 33:00
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 782 31:59 32:06 32:10 32:44 33:42 34:04 33:58
ACC Championships 10/30 681 31:32 32:09 32:25 32:40 32:20 33:19 32:55 34:22
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 635 31:12 31:48 32:45 32:19 32:32 32:42 34:23
NCAA Championship 11/21 31:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 18.3% 23.1 547 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.5 0.6 0.3
Region Championship 100% 4.7 147 0.7 7.4 16.0 21.6 25.3 16.2 9.5 2.5 0.6 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Clevenger 84.2% 58.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1
Tim Ball 22.6% 103.2 0.0 0.0
Chris Marco 18.4% 147.7
Kevin Pulliam 18.3% 184.5
Jacob Dumford 18.3% 198.4
Brent Kennedy 18.3% 211.3
Anthony Williams 18.5% 246.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Clevenger 4.6 7.2 12.0 13.5 11.9 9.0 7.1 5.8 5.1 4.0 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4
Tim Ball 16.2 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.5 4.7 4.8 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.5 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.2 2.6 2.6 2.1 2.1
Chris Marco 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.1 4.1 3.1 3.3 3.1
Kevin Pulliam 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4
Jacob Dumford 47.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5
Brent Kennedy 55.2 0.0 0.0
Anthony Williams 107.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 1
2 7.4% 100.0% 7.4 7.4 2
3 16.0% 45.5% 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 8.7 7.3 3
4 21.6% 12.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 18.9 2.7 4
5 25.3% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 25.0 0.3 5
6 16.2% 0.1% 0.0 16.2 0.0 6
7 9.5% 9.5 7
8 2.5% 2.5 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 18.3% 0.7 7.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 81.7 8.1 10.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0